新丝绸之路经济带起点陕西省的区域创新与经济增长

袁　航^[1]　程　锐

摘要　基于新丝绸之路经济带起点——陕西省1985—2014年的数据，采用自回归分布滞后模型（ARDL）研究创新能力与经济增长之间的依存关系。结果表明：陕西省创新能力与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系，其中，创新投入具有短期提振经济增长的效应，但仅有R＆D内部经费支出存在长期效应；创新产出——授权专利数无显著的经济增长效应；此外，知识因素对经济增长的拉动作用微弱且不显著；国有化率对经济增长具有明显的抑制作用；开放程度因存在时滞而具有长期经济增长之功但无短期之效，说明陕西省创新能力对经济增长的促进作用主要源于研发经费和长期开放政策。最后从技术创新、激励机制设计以及制度创新三方面提出对策建议，旨在确保供给侧结构性改革和“一带一路”战略的顺利实施。

关键词　区域创新能力；经济增长；ARDL模型；协整

The Study on the Endogenously Dependent Relationship Between Regional Innovation Capacity and Economic Grow th：Set the New Starting Point of the Silk Road Economic Belt in Shaanxi Province as an Example(www.xing528.com)

YUAN Hang，CHENG Rui

Abstract：This paper studies the interdependent relationship between regional innovation capacity and economic growth，using the auto regressive distributed lag（ARDL）model which is based on the data during 1985—2014 years of Shaanxi province—the new starting point of the Silk Road Economic Belt.Results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the innovation capacity and economic growth.The innovation inputs have the shortterm effect of boosting the economic growth，but only the internal R＆D spending has the longterm effects；there is no significant effect for the innovation output—the authorized patents to boost the economic growth，neither do the knowledge factors；while the nationalization rate has the significant inhibitory effect on economy；and due to the lags，openness has the power to boost economic growth in the long-term but no short-term economic effect.Which reveals the promoting effect on economic growth in Shaanxi province innovation mainly comes from the innovation fund input and long-term of the opening policy.Finally，the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions from these aspects including the technology innovation，the incentive mechanism design and the institution innovation，which aim to ensure the Reform of the supply side and the Belt and Road strategy smoothly implemented.

Key Words：Regional Innovation Ability；Economic Growth；ARDL Model；Co-Integration